So for the Hillary Clinton campaign it's come down to this. It's no men on, bottom of the ninth, 2 outs, down by 5 runs and the pitchers at the plate. Or it's the 2 minute warning, they're down by 3 touchdowns and the other team has the ball. In other words, yes it is possible that they could pull off a miracle, Obama could get caught in bed with a goat and a small child, but it is highly highly improbable.
When I hear the Clinton campaigns comments that Obama doesn't bring in the white male working class vote I am reminded of one of the many smart (but evil) things Karl Rove did. Back in 2000 he knew that while abortion was a hot button issue for certain elements of the Republican party he was not going to make it an issue in Bush's campaign, because he knew that those voters would not look at the Democratic candidate and say: "hey if you don't want my vote I will just vote for the other side". I think that the people that Hillary brings to the table: the white working class, the women, the Catholics, the majority of those voters will not wake up in November and say "Hey Obama just doesn't represent my interests, what I need to do is vote for a Republican candidate who represents another 4 years of corrupt, idiotic misrule".
When August and September roll around I think that for every Reverend Wright ad, or elitist charge there will be 5-10 ads showing that McCain is 4 more years of this idiotic, corrupt administration. And when the country is still suffering from 4-5$ gas and the housing crisis and all of the assorted ills falling out from those problems, they will not want to hear that we will get 4 more years of the same thing. I am not saying this is a slam dunk election for the Democrats, after George I lost to Clinton it is clear there is no such thing as a slam dunk election, but they will have to work pretty hard to lose it.
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